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Tuesday 23 April 2024

“We should always be aware that what now lies in the past once lay in the future”… (499)

F. W. Maitland (English Law Historian -1850 – 1906)

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So – more quoting this week. Maybe there just no longer seems much point in writing out what is obvious when it has been so very obvious for so very long.

At the weekend I got into a poignant discussion with my young cousins’ Ukrainian girlfriend. A sparklingly intelligent young woman, making the most of her displacement and trying to live a normal life while worry clearly accompanies all her thoughts and actions concerning her internally displaced family back in Ukraine.

OF the many interesting things she said, there was a central point that many would do well to remember in relation to the hysteria over migrants and in particular the government’s mad obsession and ludicrous incompetence (not to mention criminal waste of money) over the laughably insane Rwanda scheme. In fact it is a point that we’d do well to keep front and centre of any discussion relating to migrants or refugees, debate now derailed by the rabid right wing. That point is that she would not be here if it were not for the situation in Ukraine.

Do we really need to be reminded that people do not just up- sticks and risk their lives or leave their homes and families without good cause? It seems we do.

The reason I tie in this family snippet with the quote above is many fold but most urgently this –

Maitland was writing not just pre-WWII but pre WWI. In fact his seminal works were written in the C19th and yet the point he is making (and this is very broad brush) is that there may be and possibly is always a point in time when we have the option to change humanity’s direction of travel. History is what has happened but history is happening all the time. At some point in the not too distant future – will historians point to this current mess and the chaos in the UK and US – and say – ah yes – at moments up to and during 2024 when opportunities arose to halt the descent into the hell of all-out global war – no one seized those opportunities? No one attempted to divert the cataclysm.

I’ve already alluded to the Tory Party’s addiction to Russian oligarch money and – when he was PM - Boris Johnson sneering at the military advisors who warned him of an imminent invasion by Russia. While no one would impute Chamberlain with Johnson’s venality back in September 1938 – it’s hard not to think of the challenges surrounding Hitler’s claims over The Sudetenland and his land grab in Czechoslovakia and not draw comparisons with recent activities in Crimea and now the full scale invasion of Ukraine.

At what point could Hitler have been stopped? At what point Putin?

Are we at another Sudetenland crisis? Have we past it already?

At the moment – all the West are doing, while more Ukrainians die, is preventing Ukraine from losing outright. Putin is not being stopped and voices are growing concerning how to placate him. 

Really!

I would regard myself as a pacifist – broadly – but even I know that if someone is smacking you around the head with a baseball bat, you don’t stop and wonder if you tied a ribbon around the bat and offered them a cream cake – they’d stop and go away.

And if we do let this situation slide – we need to be clear – any conflagration in the 21st century would make WWI and WWII look like a drunken brawl after a bad wedding – just look at the horrors of Gaza. Yes The Somme is a stain on humanity in terms of trusting young soldiers’ lives lost – but then what is 13,000 dead Palestinian children? Think of the image in the early days of Putin’s madness – of the pregnant young Ukrainian woman with the smashed hip being stretchered away from a bomb site screaming to be allowed to die.

So let us draw on that 19th century wisdom and apply it to the humanitarian apocalypse we may be stumbling into – today – tomorrow or next week because surely – we don’t want to make that type of history again.