In
my dystopian novella Zero One Zero Two (e-book and paperback) – there is a background landscape where
Africa has been quietly abandoned in a world where humanity
effectively works its way to destruction.
The
forsaking of the historically abused, gruesomely exploited cradle of
humanity is not new but Trump’s war-not-a-war, already out of
control, begun to distract from his vile past with the infamous
paedophile Epstein, is a hugely significant catalyst.
And
who have the world’s historically ill-used got to rely on in The United Nations?
Well – the five permanent members – the ones who have always
carved up the world and done so little for the exploited and the
poor; the five who have in fact, historically been the worst colonial
abusers, oppressors, warmongers and abusers/destroyers of the globe’s
resources; The US, The UK, China, Russia, France.
Yes,
in the short term, a world addicted to oil will focus on economic
pain and their own inconvenience rather than on human suffering but
this is so much bigger than another stupid Western slaughter fest in
The Middle East.
Our
own bargain basement Trump, the ultimately buffoonish Prime Minister
Boris Johnson, chose to cut foreign aid DURING COVID while his
government were dishing out government contracts to dodgy mates. And while his
behaviour at home led to huge suffering and further loss of
confidence in national government – this barely reported act of
extreme injustice and cruelty had a much more far-reaching
relevance. It was one of the first overt, almost boastful and blatant cruelties without the usual sugar coating and it mattered not a jot, barely registering with the public.
One
of Trump’s early actions in his cataclysmic second term was to cut
US AID. In 2025 The Centre for Global Development estimated that
these cuts would lead to 700,000 additional deaths annually – many
in Africa.
Of
course there is plenty money for the war machine and Trump’s golden
ballroom etc…
But
this snake eats itself. Our very denial will be our downfall.
According
to organisations such as Debt Justice, Africa subsidises the rest of
the world to the tune of around $40billion PER YEAR in both repaying
debt that often outweighs aid significantly and in the way its
resources continue to be exploited.
Another
interesting but ignored figure is the Action Aid calculation that
Africa is owed around $36 trillion in Climate Debt by rich countries
– countries like the US and Britain that have chosen to cut aid,
have been at the forefront of the resource/asset gouging of that
continent. However, they continue through politicians and a lazy
media to portray Africa as an eternal aid sponge. The hard truth is
the exact opposite.
There
may be some short-term positive side-effects the Trump’s Iran
horror such as more intra-African trade and a shift away from
reliance on the unreliable West. Also some African exporting
countries such as Libya may get an economic hoist – but whether
this will benefit those ‘on the ground’ in a country still
without necessary infrastructure and security to provide stable
services to all, is not a given.
But
as Trump’s stupid war gets away from his stupid rotting little
hands – I believe something much bigger has been triggered than
just more disruption to the black gold that fuels the comfortable
lives of the soft, easy-living-uninterested West. Not least that in
this latest sad, humanity-disregarding, episode of Actuarial Warfare
– a Middle East country appears for now to be getting the upper
hand. Or at least holding its own.
Iran is not Gaza.
Two
tiny choke points – The Straits of Hormuz and The Bab-el-Mandeb
Straits could take the globe closer to that infamous tipping point.
Both are significant for moving huge quantities of the stuff that literally fuels global trade and both are
embroiled in Trump’s mess.
The
White House malignant narcissist’s blasphemous, incoherent,
expletive Easter rant will not ease the situation.
One
piece of barely acknowledged news is the immediate crises caused in
places such as The Philippines. Much of the cheap labour wealthy countries rely on comes from this small South East Asian country and its
overwhelming dependence on imported oil has meant The Philippines was
one of the first to directly experience economic disaster.
Africa
may partially benefit from its recent growing economic ties with China
especially as the economically legendary Petrodollar loses much of
its global punch and even shipping securities and insurance companies
begin to quote in Yuan. But Africa has already taken massive hits
from Putin's illegal invasion of Ukraine even though China is on the side – sort
of – of Russia. Supplies of both wheat and sunflower oil to the
continent have been massively disrupted.
Much
of Africa’s farming is Middle East dependent i.e. its fertiliser
comes from The Gulf states. And unlike rich countries, poorer areas of
the world cannot shield themselves from these shocks. Cuts to aid
along with the latest hits to oil/grain and fertiliser are just
piling on already unsustainable pressure.
What
is being felt immediately in The Philippines has been a long term
drip drip effect on Africa and is now exacerbated by the Iran war. The fast,
the slow, the short, medium and long-term repercussions will be
catastrophic.
What
the selfish, insular West should realise however, as in my novella,
abandoning The Exploited Continent in this vicious way
will ultimately effect those who think they are invulnerable to
crises. We are all interdependent.
For
decades The West has ignored the in-our-face climate crisis –
because it could afford to. The results of Western greed and lazy,
disinterested comfort were felt mainly by the poor of the world in
countries The West saw as either holiday destinations or cheap
resource suppliers.
Just
as the West largely ignored the 2008 global financial crisis that it
created – because it could.
The
West ignored many of the major global health crises until it was
touched – AIDS and COVID being the best examples. (I have written
on this blog more than once how typical that the world had viagra but
no cure for Malaria).
The
insulated, cosy West has ignored common sense, logic, history and
humanity in such adventures as the illegal invasion of Iraq. Both
Bush and Blair prosper free, wealth, at liberty and taking no
responsibility for what followed – the destabilisation of The
Middle East [again] – mass migration, the rise of the Right Wing in
Europe and the tragic knock-on effects we see today.
But
there is always an end game. I envisioned a possible one in my novella.
Trump
began his distraction war by bombing an elementary girls’ school
killing 170 while negotiations were supposedly ongoing. So the
suggestion that Iran will return to the negotiating table any time
soon is just another Trump fantasy. Why would Iran partake?
The
idea that The US is ‘winning’ is also a Trump fantasy. This
is Vietnam, Korea, Afghanistan and other terrible etceteras.
But
this time I strongly argue – the END GAME may not be simply another
spectacularly costly US military blunder.
And
remember the numbers -
While
it costs around $13 million to launch one THAAD missile interceptor.
The Iranian missiles it is trying to intercept cost a fraction of
that – around $35k. Some of the mines laid in The now infamous
Straits of Hormuz cost as little as $1,500. Oh – and approximately
3 THAADs are needed to down one Iranian missile.
I
understand those who claim there is some sort of plan behind all
this. It’s human nature to look for logic and a comfortable
narrative. However, this view seems to be broadly based on the
assumption – ‘surely no one can be this stupid’ and if they are
‘surely there are clever people in the background’. To them I say
– I have a time-share on Mars to sell you…
Yes,
we are hearing about global disruption to oil and rising costs. But
here in the UK you’d barely believe the Ukraine suffering is still
ongoing let alone this abomination in Iran. This weekend the legacy
media were covering the usual slush. Easter eggs, Royal outings to be
viewed by the zombie public, celebrity shite, holidays...
We’ve
been here before many times.
Too
many times.
We
have not learned.
This
time Trump may simply be painting the background story described in
my novella.
*
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check out my other books HERE.
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I was on.
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books are available on wider distribution from alternative good
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